Winter Gritting Experts

Snow In The North - GRITIT™ Forecasters Predict Election Day Will Be Wet And Windy For Most

December 11, 2019

With approximately 47 million Britons popping out to a polling station tomorrow in the 2019 General Election, GRITIT™ has taken a look at the weather forecast provided by MetDesk to see whether we need to take our snowboots or umbrellas, and whether winter weather is likely to be a major factor in the result.

polling day 2

Snow apocalyse? No!

MetDesk's high resolution weather input based on global & regional model blends including ECMWF, the UK Met Office & GFS and testing of its forecast and data against the widest possible pool of weather data available means that the weather prediction for tomorrow has a unique level of accuracy, and as we get closer to the day of the forecast the accuracy increases. Last week, the media was full of apocryphal snow forecasts on election day, especially from the Daily Mirror, but the MetDesk forecast for tomorrow looks somewhat less threatening and more in line with what you'd expect at this time of year in terms of snow:

election day snow

Without a doubt there will be snow over large parts of the country, and it's mainly in the afternoon and very much focused around the north of the country, with the "Red Wall" of traditionally Labour-leaning constituencies likely to face a bit of a white dusting late in the afternoon. Although analysts differ in their assessments of weather actually makes too much of a difference in any election, the general view is that snowfall tomorrow isn't likely to affect the vote in any national sense, although some areas could possibly have an altered turnout.

Miserable, rainy, windy afternoon for most

What's more likely, is that voters who choose to cast their vote after work will face wet and miserable late afternoon weather, with rainfall and wind gusts expected to come in from the west to cover large parts of the country. Overnight, gusts specifically are set to increase and that always results in provincial powercuts if trees fall down:

wind

... and a large band of rain covers the west of the country in the morning:

rain

moving east during the course of the day to make it an umbrella day all round:

rain2

With over 100 years of operational winter maintenance forecasting experience and an unrivaled knowledge of the how atmospheric processes and the radiation balance affect surface temperatures and surface conditions, GRITIT™'s weather forecasters MetDesk have moved road surface forecasting on to a new level of accuracy and the fruits of this are visible in the pinpoint accuracy that the unique 9km road forecasting provides in the maps above.

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The extremes of recent years have demonstrated the unpredictability of winter weather in the UK. If you're responsible for a portfolio of buildings, facilities, business or retail parks, this can make it challenging to budget for the costs of winter services. At GRITIT, we offer a breadth of commercial arrangements with the flexibility to meet the needs of your business. Pay for gritting and/or snow clearance only when needed with a cost per visit (CPV) arrangement that ensures you only pay when the weather conditions trigger a visit. For more cost predictability, fixed price deals for the winter are ideal and ensure peace of mind that no matter how harsh the winter, you will only pay the agreed price.

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This covers all visits for winter gritting and/or snow and ice clearance when the agreed weather condition trigger is reached. For clients seeking a hybrid model that combines elements of both arrangements we can create a tailored commercial plan. We can also work with you to customise the triggers for visits according to the exact temperature or snow conditions that meet your requirements – and advise on best practice for doing so while keeping your sites safe.

 

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